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The Cost of Adapting to Climate Change in Ethiopia: Sector - Wise and Macro - E conomic Estimates

The Cost of Adapting to Climate Change in Ethiopia: Sector - Wise and Macro - E conomic Estimates
by Portal Web Editor last modified Sep 04, 2013 03:41 PM
Contributors: Robinson, Sherman, Strzepek, Kenneth, Cervigni, Raffaello
Copyright © 2013, International Food Policy Research Institute

This paper uses spatially-explicit analyses of climate change effects on selected key sectors of Ethiopia’s economy to estimate both sector-wise and economy wide estimates of impacts and adaptation costs. Using four IPCC-vetted Global Circulation Models (GCMs) to bracket the uncertainty surrounding future climate outcomes, the paper finds that by 2050 climate change could cause GDP to be 8–10 percent smaller than under a no-climate change baseline; it could induce a two-fold increase in variability of growth in agriculture; and it would affect more severely the poor and certain parts of the country.

Author(s): Robinson, Sherman , Strzepek, Kenneth , Cervigni, Raffaello

Publication Date: 2013

Location: Ethiopia

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